| Topics to cover: | Videos | |
| Week 1 | Intro: | Predictably irrational |
| Week 2 | ten things classic
finance can't explain but BF tries to Reading: chapter 1,2 and Fama paper |
Kahneman |
| Week 3: | Panic! (no not this Panic!) and escaping a crash (from Simplixity) or from a building (think 9-11) People as dots, 1959 video on topic, probably too strong for class, but if you are brave a video from 911., here is a TV version. Pride and regret--Chapter 3 Losing hurts more than winning feels good- Good definition from Behaviouralfinance.net -Endowment effect Duke Basketball Risk perceptions- Chapter 3 Prospect theory Financial implications- Required reading: Still an anomaly? By Dalton |
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| Week 4 | Work on individual projects (I had to be at hospital for family emergency) | |
Framing: Definition from Wikipedia "A frame in social theory consists of a schema of interpretation—that is, a collection of anecdotes and stereotypes—that individuals rely on to understand and respond to events.[1][page needed] In simpler terms, a person has, through his lifetime, built a series of mental emotional filters. They use these filters to make sense of the world. The choices they then make are influenced by their frame or emotional filters. In psychology, framing is influenced by the background of a context choice and the way in which the question is worded." Your perspective matters on how you perceive just about anythingToo much already! Stop. Just give me a simple idea: Why heuristics are used. From Shookrun:
" When
overwhelmed with facts, we select a small part of them and usually
reach a different conclusion from what the entire data set would
suggest. Researchers have found that people react to this avalanche of
data by adopting shortcuts or rules of thumb rather than formally
calculating the actual odds of a given outcome. Known to psychologists
as judgmental heuristics in technical jargon, these shortcuts are
learning and simplifying strategies we use for managing large amounts
of information. Backed by the experience of a lifetime, most of these
judgmental shortcuts work exceptionally well, and allow us to cope with
data that would otherwise overwhelm us. We also use selective processes
in dealing with probabilities: in many of our decisions and judgments,
we tend to be intuitive statisticians. We apply mental shortcuts that
work well most of the time. We think our odds of survival are better
when driving at 55 miles an hour that at 90 miles an hour, although few
of us have ever bothered to check the actual numbers."
Marketing: How it impacts Finance Framing Anchoring--not this type, nor this Examples: the number 20. Representiveness More on Respesentiveness Required reading: Ritter 2003, Men and Women and Money, gender overconfidence and trading, |
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| week 6 | Update on projects-- What is rational? Helping others? Charities? Big! From 2005: "Generosity is a long-standing American tradition, one that continues to grow. The Giving USA Foundation estimates that Americans gave $248.5 billion to charity last year, a threefold increase in inflation-adjusted terms since 1964. To put the size of the donations in perspective, Americans gave to charity last year an amount roughly equal to the national incomes of Norway or Indonesia.1 The most important source of giving is, not surprisingly, contributions from private individuals, which represent more than 75 percent of the total. The second most important source of contributions is foundations, and in third place, bequests." But how is it rational? From New Yorker: "Giving
is not about a calculation of what you are buying,” Karlan
said.
“It is about participating in a fight.” It is about
you as much as it
about the effect of your gift. As much as fund-raisers say that they
understand these mixed motivations, charities often continue to behave
as if donors were automatons. Thus the existence of big matching gifts."
Pay or pray? Gym Memberships: (still from New Yorker) "impure
altruism. It fits nicely with the recent explosion of academic
research on the anomalies and irrationalities of life. The field is
known as behavioral economics. It has shown, for example, that many
people buy monthly memberships to health clubs even when paying individually
for each visit would be much cheaper. Apparently, people imagine that
the membership will inspire them to work out far more often than it
really does. Behavioral economists don’t question that people
generally
want to do what’s best for themselves — and
probably what’s best for
their favorite cause, as well. But the world is a complicated place,
full of psychological nuances that trip them up."
oxytocin may be the reason. Readings: Neuroeconomcis by Lowenstein, Rick, and Cohen Neuroeconomics and Rationality-Chorvat and McCabe Monkey Business: Gambling
is fun: "monkeys chances to choose to look at either
of two
target lights on a screen. Looking at the "safe" target light yielded
the same fruit juice reward each time. However, looking at the "risky"
target light might yield a larger or smaller juice reward. The average
juice reward delivered by looking at either target was the same.
To their surprise, the monkeys
overwhelmingly preferred to gamble
by looking at the risky target. This preference held, regardless of
whether the scientists made the risky target reward more variable,
or whether the monkeys had received more or less fruit juice during the
course of the day.
This result is another knock at the foundations of economic theories that assume perfect rational utility maximization by market actors." and from LiveScience: "It seemed very, very similar to the experience of people who are compulsive gamblers," Platt points out. "While it's always dangerous to anthropomorphize, it seemed as if these monkeys got a high out of getting a big reward that obliterated any memory of all the losses that they would experience following that big reward." Inside look The researchers then wired electrodes into a part of the monkeys' brains that, in humans and animals, is known to process information on rewards." Papers from the FMA that had a tie to behavioral finance |
Marshmallows,
from MIT on How the Brain works Shiller, DeLong and others. REALLY GOOD! Chris DeCharms on fMRI The brain on trust: the NeuroEconomics of trust Paul Zak: This is your brain on money. Brian Knutson on Desire. |
From a Darwinian viewpoint, the existence of altruism in nature is at first sight puzzling, as Darwin himself realized. Natural selection leads us to expect animals to behave in ways that increase their own chances of survival and reproduction, not those of others. But by behaving altruistically an animal reduces its own fitness, so should be at a selective disadvantage vis-à-vis one which behaves selfishly. To see this, imagine that some members of a group of Vervet monkeys give alarm calls when they see predators, but others do not. Other things being equal, the latter will have an advantage. By selfishly refusing to give an alarm call, a monkey can reduce the chance that it will itself be attacked, while at the same time benefiting from the alarm calls of others. So we should expect natural selection to favour those monkeys that do not give alarm calls over those that do. But this raises an immediate puzzle. How did the alarm-calling behaviour evolve in the first place, and why has it not been eliminated by natural selection? How can the existence of altruism be reconciled with basic Darwinian principles?"
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An Yan, Fordham University Thoams Chemmanur Boston College |
Yan Li, Temple University Liyan Yang, University of Toronto |
Tim J Loughran, University of Notre Dame Bill McDonald, University of Notre Dame |
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Mark Fedenia, University of Wisconsin - Madison Mark Hirschey, University of Kansas Hilla Skiba, University of Wyoming |
Xi Dong, Boston College |
Hsiou-wei W. Lin, National Taiwan University Ruei-Shian |
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Margarida Abreu, ISEG - UTL Victor Mendes, CMVM Joao Santos, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
Gabriele Mario Lepori, Copenhagen Business School |
Petra Halling, University of Vienna |
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Jose A Olivares, Universidad del Desarrollo Daniela Diaz, Universidad del Desarrollo Magdelena Besser, Universidad del Desarrollo |
Brian Lucey, Trinity college dublin Colm Kearney, Trinity College Dublin Raj Aggarwal, University of Akron |
Jose A Olivares, Universidad del Desarrollo Daniela Diaz, Universidad del Desarrollo Magdelena Besser, Universidad del Desarrollo |