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MBA 610 Financial Management  Spring 2008 version
 

Course Overview 

This is the Advanced Finance Class at most universities.  It is targeted largely at Corporate Finance.

Administrative stuff: 


 Syllabus-- Syllabus

here is the link to the text's main web page for students .  It has quite a few useful pages of notes and online quizzes.  I am sure the quizzes will help also for tests!   I was asked about stats, so if you are looking for help in stats, may I recommend The Statistics Homepage.  It is good. 

Link to mini-corporate summaries, link to the FinanceProfessorblog, link to Financeclassblog 

Notes: 
These notes are constant works in process.  They will likely be updated repeatedly though out the year.  For that reason you should make a practice of printing them just before the class if at all possible.  Also readings should be done prior to the class for maximum effect.--for all non-text readings try to get the top two or three points 
 (Note: each topic also has links that will be mainly background for each class--YOU DO NOT NEED TO PRINT THESE OFF NOR READ EVERY WORD)


Week 1
-- Welcome to class!

Please read the Summaries (the introductions and conclusions couldn't hurt either for the real ambitious) for the first 12 chapters of the text.

In past semesters I  had several requests for review material, so here some links from my introductory corporate finance page that should help. We will not spend much time on these, but you are expected to know it.  
Review material that you may find useful:

Also if you are looking for help in stats, may I recommend The Statistics Homepage.  It is good.

Actual new stuff begins here

We will spend quite a bit of time here

Pulling the goalie::
"Galai and Masulis (1976) show that debt in the capital structure may give shareholders the incentive accept risky negative NPV projects and pass on safe positive NPV projects. This happens when the benefits of the project must go to pay off debt holders. The shareholders will want to take on a risky project (even if it has a negative NPV) in order to have a chance at getting paid after the debt holders have been paid."

"Chevalier and Ellison (1996) apply similar logic and show that mutual fund managers who have underperformed their benchmarks increase the risk of their selections in order to “catch-up.” This is partially because of the high correlation between cash inflows into the fund (i.e. “new money”) and recent fund performance. In both settings, the situation is similar: unless something “big” happens, the principals get no, or a dramatically reduced, return. This creates incentives to take risks that in other settings would appear irrational."

Want a football example?  Click here.


Required Readings:  Executive Summaries of chapters 1-12   

Week 2

Review of finance continued:

Saturday--review of time value of money and valuation

Review of Portfolio Math and Valuation

 Discussion of Normal distribution  

RISK and Return--what is risk? Systematic vs non systematic

Risk aversion (video), notes for thse who want more

 
Readings:

Week 3

Market Efficiency--Dean Labaron provides a good introduction, Damodoran has a bit more academic look.
Overview: Class notes
Football, Baseball, Weather, and more on behavorial finance

Required readings:
(Chapters from Book on Market Efficiency.)

                        Theory of Stock Market Efficiency-Ray Ball (Summary available)

                        Fama 1991—Efficient Markets II

                        Behavioral finance Primer by Jay Ritter


Week 4
Review of Portfolio Math and Valuation-
A visual look at correlation coefficients

What's it all means: diversify!,international correlations (home country bias),commodities, real estate, market neutral hedge funds, easier one on hedge funds


Notes on CAPM --Short version: GREAT model, too bad it does not work. or does it?

We will first show how CAPM was developed but since this is largely a topic for other classes, BE SURE TO READ THE TEXT!

Ok, so CAPM may or may not work.  There is still a soft spot in my heart for CAPM.  Why? Because it is such an important and elegant model and I still think it should work.  But of course most research over the last decade suggests it does not work very well (example Fama And French 1993!).

Why it does not work is the real fun. Is it the model? The market? The researcher? Or some combination of the above?

Even something as well established at the Value anomaly is now being questioned:  research from Ang and Chen finds that the time period studied matters as well. For instance, from 1963 on there appears to be a Value anomaly. However, this disappears when the 1926-2001 period is examined and “the market factor alone is able to explain the spread of average returns of these portfolios.” [note the portfolios were created based on book to market values.] Further they find evidence of a time-varying beta relationship where value stocks (i.e. high book to market or equivalently and more commonly in the popular press low market to book ratios) “were risky in the early part of sample, but not in the latter part. This could be really big.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=346600


Fama and French on CAPM and other pricing models (from Blog)
Fama and French (2003) recap the current work on CAPM.  A must read :)
Market Efficiency (Chapter 13)

Optional:
The Liquidity Route to  Lower Cost of Capital --by Amihud and Mendelson-(Revolution book pp 70-88--library) Explains what else might matter in Returns that is not captured in CAPM.

In Defense of Beta--Kothari and Shanken (Revolution book p. 63-69 library)




What is Insider Trading?

Less important but interesting (i.e you do not need to read all of these, they will be used in class however)
A paper by Bainbridge that looks at Insider trading (great Bibliography and literature review
With success of insider trading, it is not surprising that insider trading is widely watched: See if insiders at your firm have been trading

Fast recap/summary of insider trading
Fast recap of Market Efficiency

Week 5
Capital Structure: Capital structure decisions are basic part of doing business yet often misunderstood.  In terms of modern financial theory and EMH it should not matter what we issue as there is a zero NPV.  Managers, however, spend much time worrying about what to issue and when.  Why?   Partially because some of the assumptions we use in developing EMH do not hold, partially because of transaction costs, partially for agency cost reasons, and partially because the Investment banking community is convinced that what firms issue does matter.
Chapter 14 notes : essentially definitions/review of what financing alternatives are available

Required Readings:
         Modigliani-Miller proposition after Thirty Years—Merton Miller
         Still Searching for Optimal Capital Structure—Stewart Myers
         Who issues Stock?   Fama and French 2003 working paper

Week   more capital structure and Security Issuance
Notes on Capital Structure--center on Modigliani and Miller

Maturity of debt: More risky firms seem to use shorter term maturity (Barclay and Smith 1995)
Bank relationships seem to help small firms (Petersen and Rajan 1994)
          Famous " Smith-Masulis " paper
 
Why capital structure might matter--a quick look at capital budgeting

Readings
:
Pecking order--
Text Readings: chapters 14-17, 30

Week 6

Do firms have a a target debt ratio?

Capital structure and the Nexus of contracts--one solution: Convertible Debt
Alternatives to straight debt and equity issues:
Rights issues

Security Issuance
Timing
Deviations from target ratio and acquisitions
Capital structure review-- we will focus on the  Smith-Masulis Tables (please print off and have ready in class)

Discussion of capital structure at VERY small firms.  (For instance firm start-ups, family run firms etc).  (NOT IN TEXT)

This next section on Short term financial decisions is from chapters 26-29--this will be quite brief.  
Mainly on what is available (from book) and why not to rely on short-term financing.  It is one section that I think you will be able to "get" from reading.  Thus do not expect much class coverage.


Money going the other way--Dividends and Buybacks.

Dividends
 
What is a dividend 
Various types of dividends

Dividends Lintner, Survey data
    They're back-Ikenberry and Julio
     Dividends and Taxes-- tax cut, more dividends--Chetty and Saez
     Weak governance?  Dividends may be the answer.--John and Knyazeva

Reasons why Managers often do not like dividends.
 a connection to executive options--KAHLE
FPL Case--optional (Library)

Buybacks-
Buybacks vs Dividends


Remember test is week 7-- (NEXT WEEK)


Week 8--this material is on the Final
 
Leasing--
My notes
chapter 21--notes from text book
                             Questions and Problems: 1, 5

            Project Finance--This will probably not be covered in great detail simply for time reason.  However, here are some links that you should at least be familiar with for test purposes (know basics) and also for your professional careers.  What is Project Finance?  A project finance site run by Harvard.



More comments on Bonds--in particular non investment grade bonds--Michael Milken story

Types of Bonds (again read from Text.  This is largely a straight forward list so we will not devote class time to it.)

Raising funds (the hows)

Private vs Public

   Raising capital continued--IPOs--not as much from the book

Week 9--

Review of IPOs

 

DerivativesWhat are they?, how to price them

Basic building blocks: Forwards and Futures and Options.

  1. Forward Contracts

- an agreement between two parties for the delivery of some asset at some time for some price

 - unique to each contract - nonnegotiable, nontransferable, and cannot be traded

- can be customized

 - very illiquid, high transaction costs

- are rarely entered into except by companies that have good credit ratings because of the high risk of default

- payoff of a long position = underlying asset price - price agreed upon

 

  1. Futures Contracts - Standardized

- much more liquid than forward contracts - very active market

- payoff looks the same as forward contracts

           if long: spot-original futures price

if short: original futures-spot
  •  - if the price of the product goes up then the payoff of the long position goes up
  • - every contract is made with a middleman called a clearinghouse
  • - marked-to-market daily
  • - the contracts used to be settled with delivery but now more people are settling with cash which allows easier speculation
  1. Options
Calls and puts

- a call gives the purchaser of the option the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at an agreed upon price at either any time before expiration ( American) or at expiration (European)

HINT:  Think of a coupon for a gallon of milk.

            - You can always walk away from a long option position but NOT a short position which creates an  obligation.

- put option gives the purchaser of the option the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at an agreed upon price at any time as an American or an European

- you buy a call when you expect the price to go up and you buy a put when you expect the price to go down

- if you  “long a call” you purchased the call option and if the stock price is above the strike price then you want to exercise the option

- if you “long a put option” you are betting the market price will go down and bought the option to sell - if the stock price is below the strike price then you exercise the option

long a call

            call price = max ( 0, stock price - strike price)

short a call (call writer)

            call price = min ( 0, strike price - stock price)

long a put

            call price = max ( 0, strike price - stock price)

short a put (put writer)

            call price = min ( 0, stock price - strike price)

More Terminology

  1. In the money-if exercise would be profitable
  2.  at the money
  3.  out-of-the money-if exercise would NOT be profitable

 OCC-Options Clearing Corporation: works much like the futures clearing houses

 Naked vs Covered positions

 Zero sum game

 hedge vs speculate

Pricing options-

Pricing at expiration is easy (See above),  Before expiration is more challenging.  Two main pricing methods: Black Scholes Option Pricing Model (which we will cover in detail) and the Binomial Option Pricing model (which we will introduce only).

Black  Scholes...

Bounds on the price of a call.

            upper=price of stock

            lower=stock-PV(x)

Black-Scholes formulas uses differential equations and solves for this price completely.

Using the Black Scholes formula, Put call parity,
Calculator

Other derivatives
swaps
Asian Option
Barrier Options

Well this is all nice, but why study them in Corporate Finance?  Even if you are not going to be a derivatives trader, derivatives are very important to those in finance or auditing.  

Hedging, disasters, and Real Options

1. debacles,: Orange County, Barings, LTCM, Bankers Trust             
2. Hedging: why?  Value, taxes, monitoring, lower financial distress costs and better access to capital markets (See Simkins, Carter, and Rogers)
3. Real Options--Football example 

Derivatives can also provide us information about what the market thinks the future will be like:
Reading the entrails:  

                    Peterson, Horan, Mahar--Find that IV increases prior to meetings by OPEC
                    Godbey and Mahar (RIF, 2004) --find that IVs increased for firms audited by Andersen during Enron problems
                    Godbey and Mahar (2007)--find that IV is best predictor of future for actively traded stocks

In sum, Derivatives are powerful tools.  Used correctly they help greatly, used incorrectly they really can hurt!



Week 10-- Corporate Governance

Talk about hot topics!  Corporate Governance has been on the front page of all major papers and has attracted much attention in academic world as well.  It boils down to conflicts within the Nexus.  Generally this focuses on manager and shareholder conflicts. 

Here are a few notes on the topic from past newsletters, a speech by Alan Greenspan on the topic, an  independent study paper by Joe Haller (former SBU MBA student) and a class project on the topic from Andy Bubbs (current SBU student).

Does governance matter? Definitely, but it is often difficult to measure how much it matters. For instance looking at studies that show separate CEO-Chair positions are often driven by multiple factors and the choice is somewhat endogenous. 

However there is much evidence suggests that governance matters.  Looking at cross listing literature, Nofsinger and Weaver (2003) report that that one reason firms cross list (especially to the US) is to increased investor protections--Caveat, htis is not universally held. Additionally, there is much other international evidence (where the difference between strong and weak governance is more pronounced than in the US) that shows that governance does matter.  For example  Black, Jang, and Kim report that shareholder wealth is strongly positively related to strong governance.  Similarly Black finds the same evidence in looking at Russian Firms.   And a whole bunch of people do the same for Chinese firms.

Practically, governance issues often come down to disagreements about Executive pay, shareholder voting, poison pills and other areas of entrenchment..

Main topic: Executive compensation

The SEC's information on executive compensatation , Executive Compensation Resources, the AFL-CIO's site- while biased, is a good resource 

Muslu , Xie, and Neilsen  in separate articles find that the level (lower), form of pay (more or less incentive based), and transparency is affected by the board makeup.  The NY Times reports much the same in "Pay often set by non-independent compensation committees."

Transparency and Governance

General rule: transparency is good

 Where does auditing fit into this?  Can't improve things unless we know what is going on. 

 Chaney and Phillpich (JAR 2002)  find that stock prices dropped as Andersen's reputation worsened.  Also Callen and Morel as well    who find that with a similar results with a slightly different sampe. 
            
Godbey and Mahar (RIF,2004) find that auditor reputation helps mitigate the information asymmetry problem. (yeah this is same paper as above)
(FWIW this is an early edition of the paper, I am not sure how to get around copyright laws, so I just put up working papers)

What is Wrong with Corporate Governance? 

See Enron, Adelphia, Tyco, NYSE, etc., etc.  The list goes on and on.  We will talk about some of the cases in class.  

Lack of transparency is likely the most severe problem. 

What is Right with Corporate Governance?

Overall US system seems to be best there is.  Sure there are problems, but better than alternatives. The problems

A few sites that you may find useful:

Required Readings:

Week 11

The Market for Corporate Control:  in some ways this is  what happens if internal measures do not work.

Takeovers: 

  • Merger: absorption of firm A by firm B...in end all are mergers
  • Acqusition of stock: Purchase either in open marget or tender offer
  • Acquistion of Assets
  • Proxy contest
  • Tax implications: if deal is seen as a table event: trigger capital gain, if not then no taxes now.
       also steeped up depreciation

Types

Horizontal merger_acquiring competitor
Conglomertae merger--diversifying
Vertical mergers--taking over a supplier or distributor.  Why?  Be careful!  

Fan and Goyal find that there are postivie abnormal returns from vertical acqustions.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=296435

   Takeover waves (and types)

History lesson

  • 1898 to early 1900s--Horizontal mergers  
  • 1920s--vertical mergers
  • 1940s--regulatory driven
  • 1960s conglomeration
  • 1980s Leveraged bust ups
  • late 1990s to now: tech and regulatory as well as vertical

These in  part of can be explained by the Agency Costs and by stock price overvaluation.  

These latter hypotheses won support from Gugler, Mueller, and Yurtoglu (2003)

  Hostile or Friendly?

   LBO--Opler finds improved performance following deal.  Why?  Best guess is better incentives

   Laws

   How a merger can create value

  1. Economies of scale
  2. Economies of vertical integrtaion (lower Transaction costs) 
  3. Combining compliemtary assets (drug company and sales force)
  4. Synergy
  5. Marketing or distribution
  6. Market power--Esp with horizontal mergers
  7. Elimination of poor management
  8. Access to a. materials    b. customers, c. capital

Generally overall value is created.  Most of this goes to shareholders of target.

From Jensen and Ruback (1983)

                       Target %      Bidder %
Tender offer     30%                4%
Merger             20                   0 %
Proxy contest    8%                  NA

Unsuccesful bids may have value if they improve management or if they put firm in play.  Bradley, Desai, and Kim (1983) fidn that those firms who do not receive another bid give up their abnormal returns in 2 years.

How a merger can destroy value

    Dissynergy--Comment and Jarrell---can you say deworsifcation

   Megginson, Morgan, and Nail find that focus decreasing (i.e diversifiying deals) destroy value.

   Maybe they destroy value by signalling overvaluation?  That is one interpretation of  Loughran and Vijh (1997)

    Corporate culture
  Chrysler

  Hostile vs friendly

    Hostile deals get the publicty

     Most deals are friendly

how to fight acquistions

  • Pre--Maximize Shareholder value!
shark repellants
Super majority
Fair Price Amendments
Staggered Boards
Posion Pills
  • Post offer (i.e. you are in play!)
Asset restructuring --selling crown's jewels,
one time dividend
Buyback--possibly greenmail
Litigation-sue everyone

Make it political
Pac men and White Knights

Other forms of restructring:
    Carve-outs--selling a division (generally part of division) to public in form of IPO
    Spin-offs--
giving shares to existing shareholders
    Tracking stock

Key question: Why do we give managers these tools?

  • Parachutes: Good or bad?
  • Why do we allow managers to fight takeovers?

 

Week 13--
may have to finish up on restructuring and market for corporate control

Break time

Multinational finance

Why do business internationally?

Benefits
    Larger market, taking advantage of inefficiencies, improved synergies
Risks
    Country Risk-unexpectde changes in country's business environment
Political from taxes to nationalization, protectionsim, and expropriation
Financial--currency risk--MUCH easier to hedge
Hedging --why?  
net or by division?

What to hedge?
Transaction exposure--easy
Operating Exposure-more difficult
Translation exposure-marginal usefulness
Differences
Cultural
Legal and infrastructure
Investor protections  
Insider trading laws
Bribery
Environmental
Should US laws pertain to US firms?
Government involvement
How to do business internationally
Continuum from using agents to foreign branches to licencing (franchising) to Joint Venture/Merger

Corporate finance

International Capital Budgeting
Raising capital internationally
Blocked funds
Cost of capital
Taxes
Mergers and Acquistions
Executive pay

Week 14 Cases for first half, pull it all together for second half

3 cases will be done this week.  6 groups, each will have 12 minutes.  You will turn in a 5-7 page paper for each group.  For the other cases (those you are not presenting) each group will be responsible for discussion questions and a one page memo.

Case 1: Adelphia: Group One:  Management  Group Two: Creditors
Case 2:  Springfield Power Case Group three: Shareholders   Group four:  Managment
Case 3: Maharaja Dilemma: Can Pepsi Thrive in Sri Lanka?  Group5 Maharaja Group 6: DLJ

Last hour of class:
Catch-up
Trends in finance
What we know what we do not know
Tying it back together

Using finance

Week 15
Final


my note