Security Issuance
(notes not complete yet!)
You should definitely know the relative Advantages/disadvantages of issuing
various types of securities. This can come in part from the definitions
in the text. You should also know the relative costs of issuing securities.
As a general rule is that the more risky (greater informational effiecicny
etc), the greater the cost of issuance. Issue costs matter since they can
make what would otherwise be a good investment a poor one. This is
the concept of Adjusted Present value, APV or ANPV)
Issuing Securities is tightly tied to the idea of an optimal capital structure.
There are several theories that have been used to explain the issuance process.
The most notable are the static tradeoff theory and the pecking order theory.
The tradeoff theory (also known as optimal capital structure theory) suggests
that there is a target optimal capital structure and that managers want to
get to this level. The firms may take temporary movements away from
the target (as market conditions and the like change) but eventually want
to get back to the optimal point.
The problem with this is that it would suggest that any issuance (which
would be seen as a movement towards the optimal point) should be associated
with a stock price increase. This is NOT the case as evidenced by 3%
abnormal decline surrounding a SEO.
The Pecking Order theory (generally attributed to Myers and Majluf 1984)
is based on the idea that information asymmetries exist between mangers and
investors. This theory states that managers like to use internally
generated cash to fund new projects. If this cash is not available
they want to issue in order of riskiness: from safe to risky. Thus
straight debt would be issued before preferred equity, which is before common
equity.
Empirically this has much more support. There is still some doubt
however as this order may be merely cost driven. (It is cheaper to
issue debt than equity). Moreover upwards of 75% of spending is funded
by internal cash. (more in some periods! Example 1991=97% (source
Federal Reserve Flow of Funds)
What are the costs of issuance?
- Direct costs of issuance
- Out of pocket expenses
- Lawyers, Investment bankers
Indirect costs of issuance
market reactions! (generally 3% down)
Time to market (managers time and window of opportunity in invetment)
Costs are large and tend to be "fixed." Thus want to issue as much
as possible when you do issue. Spread out fixed costs.
APV = adjusted Net Present value
if no costs APV=NPV
if APV<NPV, may pass up positive
NPV projects
Seasoned equity issues are quite rare. Often used as last resort.
Investors know this and price accordingly. Hence 3% drop. Note
this 3% drop can be an enormous percentage of the new funds raised.
IPOs difficult to assess…greater uncertainty, greater underpricing.
We also cannot explain the waves that exist in issues. Why do these
waves exist? It is hard to say.
EMH says any time is as good as any other time, yet we definitely see waves.
IPOs esp. Hot market vs cold market.
More in IPO file to follow.